Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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614
WUUS01 KWNS 172003
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2025

VALID TIME 172000Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44479803 44979790 45209732 44979461 44419439 43599461
       43239543 43189652 43579731 44479803
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47470917 47560848 46910762 45710732 45660887 45770978
       46441005 47470917
0.05   41120113 42410360 43070443 43620477 44150483 44610446
       44740402 44780344 44520294 44100222 43740136 43840059
       44019991 44809796 45999683 46599608 46579512 46289431
       44919365 44419377 43259467 42429655 41169847 40409901
       40520002 41120113
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45181010 44871085 44261184 43991246 43821341 44041410
       44581420 45201377 45871321 46461242 47171128 47790824
       47720596 47690487 47210425 46370458 45450590 45480716
       45360851 45360933 45181010
0.05   39128011 39548003 39747978 39747877 39887825 40727720
       41317598 42677395 43267221 44746974 44606876 43856859
       43507019 41967056 41397214 40257405 39867461 39427515
       38627598 38237695 38227798 38817944 39128011
0.05   42420368 43740353 43710127 43969997 45259888 46629830
       47079703 47039628 46889594 46659566 46319520 45369422
       44729352 43669148 42519079 41779118 41689196 41939337
       41439501 40259752 40389899 40500001 41260103 42420368
0.15   42729733 43369717 43969686 44609646 44919610 44999571
       44879499 44659458 44399411 44189383 43739374 42969392
       42449416 42119476 41909550 41669635 41609681 41729726
       42129743 42729733
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   43369717 44609646 44919610 44999571 44879499 44189383
       43739374 42969392 42449416 42119476 41669635 41609681
       41729726 42129743 43369717
MRGL   39548003 39747978 39747877 39887825 40727720 41317598
       42677395 43267221 44746974 44606876 43856859 43507019
       41967056 41397214 40257405 39427515 38627598 38237695
       38227798 39128011 39548003
MRGL   44610446 44740402 44780344 44100222 43740136 44009993
       45259888 46629830 47079703 47039628 46889594 46589556
       46579512 46289431 44859366 43669148 42519079 41779118
       41689196 41939337 41439501 40259752 40389899 40500001
       42420368 43070443 43620477 44150483 44610446
MRGL   45871321 47171128 47790824 47690487 47210425 46370458
       45450590 45480716 45360933 45181010 44871085 44261184
       43991246 43821341 44041410 44581420 45871321
TSTM   49169165 47678872 46518786 44188768 42818730 41398595
       41218338 41668155 42767978 43127871 43337674 43867525
       44457275 44997135 45846963 46316694 99999999 37907440
       36527626 36337780 36697922 36378046 35298147 33938258
       33168335 32858329 32698275 32908201 33088067 33087976
       32827843 99999999 28309531 28409685 29499816 31079841
       32119955 32390061 32030144 31290198 30540207 29030129
       99999999 31551341 32571288 33211176 33401002 34021011
       34380939 34940672 35710524 37440489 38680473 40040540
       40060690 40360879 39801053 39721138 41291240 41071414
       41181614 40751751 41091869 40471983 40322086 40932192
       40822304 41242331 42792250 44142139 46892016 47391897
       47501768 47091601 47261341 48700987 49460665

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW
FSD 25 NE BKX 30 SSE VVV 40 ESE VVV 25 NNE RWF MKT 35 E FRM 30 NNE
FOD 10 SSE FOD 35 ENE DNS 10 SW TQE 30 ENE OLU 20 NNE OLU 10 N OFK
25 SW FSD.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW
MGW 10 NE MGW 45 SSW AOO 30 S AOO 35 ESE UNV 15 W AVP 10 SW ALB 25 N
EEN 30 N AUG 15 SSE BGR 45 SSW BHB 10 SSE PWM 25 NW HYA GON 20 NE
NEL 25 NE DOV 35 NW SBY 30 W NHK 25 ENE CHO 20 NW EKN 10 SW MGW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE
GCC 60 SSW 2WX 55 NNW RAP 30 W PHP 25 SSE PHP 30 SSE PIR 25 WSW ABR
30 SE JMS 15 NW FAR 25 NW DTL DTL 25 SE DTL 40 ESE DTL 10 SW BRD 20
W MSP 20 SW LSE 10 NNW DBQ 30 ESE CID 20 SW CID 30 NNE DSM 45 SSE
DNS 40 W BIE 25 S EAR 35 NE MCK 35 NE TOR 50 ENE DGW 65 SE GCC 35
ESE GCC 55 ENE GCC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
BTM 20 S GTF 75 NE LWT 30 W SDY 25 ENE GDV 15 W BHK 25 W 4BQ 50 N
SHR 50 SW BIL 40 SSE LVM 20 NE WEY 30 SE MQM 40 NNW IDA 50 ENE SUN
40 NNE SUN 40 SSW SMN 35 W BTM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 N ELO 35 NNW CMX
15 W MQT MTW 25 E RAC 30 SE SBN 20 NE FDY 20 NE CLE 50 NNW JHW 15 N
BUF 35 WNW SYR 40 ESE ART 20 E BTV 25 NNW BML 80 NNW BGR 45 ENE HUL
...CONT... 60 E WAL 20 NNW ECG 10 SSW RZZ 10 NE DAN 35 WNW GSO 30 W
CLT 40 SSE AND 35 NNE MCN 25 ENE MCN 40 NNW VDI 30 S AGS 30 SSE OGB
20 NE CHS 65 SSE CRE ...CONT... 60 S LBX 30 S VCT 20 SSW BAZ 60 W
TPL 25 SSE ABI 55 ENE BGS 15 SSE BGS 50 SSE MAF 35 NNE 6R6 30 SW DRT
...CONT... 105 SE YUM 25 SSW GBN 20 SE PHX 45 NNW SAD 20 SSW SOW 35
ENE SOW 10 SW ABQ LVS 35 WNW TAD 10 S COS 35 NW DEN 30 N EGE 40 E
VEL 15 NE PUC 35 WNW PUC 20 WNW OGD 25 NNW ENV 30 NW EKO 20 SE WMC
50 WNW WMC 65 N RNO 75 E RBL 35 SE MHS 50 SW MHS 45 ENE ACV 35 NNE
MFR 15 WSW RDM 30 NE YKM 25 ENE EPH 10 SW GEG 45 SW 3TH 40 NE MSO 10
NNW HVR 85 N GGW.