Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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962
WUUS01 KWNS 121237
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 AM CDT WED AUG 12 2026

VALID TIME 121300Z - 131200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39539114 40029112 40349078 40958982 41158835 40878706
       39698499 38968463 37688538 36838688 36888761 37168855
       37988961 38178982 39539114
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   39900517 42400495 43470487 43790493 46000607 47220546
       47870410 47990080 47559785 46569599 44469522 41749533
       40689726 38670263 38880467 39900517
0.05   42939068 42028710 40668538 38978522 37268635 36978769
       37248898 37729007 38749105 40049162 41299223 42199185
       42659164 42939068
0.05   44618359 43827796 42847583 41727458 41127554 40727915
       40918025 41288172 42238377 43498532 44488494 44618359
0.15   44260212 42760106 40990093 40300143 39850213 39710322
       39890385 41470406 43460406 44390384 44690347 44260212
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29218001 29358117 29498261 30428413 32948570 38179145
       39229378 40009615 40029913 38670263 38880465 39890517
       43480486 43800493 45940606 47190550 47860409 47990078
       47569785 46569600 43649367 42638926 41508609 40158377
       37528162 31927908
0.05   43847797 42867584 41637443 40647436 39837512 39637598
       41298176 42238375 43508535 44498498 44608376 44288066
       43897859 43847797
0.05   32471559 33721578 35331533 36151454 36101394 35501345
       34431343 33371412 32161448
0.15   42180409 43540410 44750386 44970258 44139877 43589719
       42249111 41638750 40938632 39808571 37358531 37008554
       36678624 36838745 37398890 38929113 39809203 40269283
       40759424 40979612 40739750 39870146 39670330 39880387
       40570403 41310405 42180409
0.30   41859023 41478754 40678723 39678757 39568893 40159040
       40809087 41349079 41859023
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   44750386 44970258 44139877 43589719 42249111 41638750
       40938632 39808571 37358531 37008554 36678624 36838745
       37398890 38929113 39809203 40269283 40759424 40979612
       39870146 39670330 39880387 40570403 43540410 44750386
MRGL   32171555 33721578 35331533 36151454 36101394 35501345
       34431343 33371412 32161448
MRGL   29248025 29498261 30428413 32948570 38179145 39229378
       40009615 40029903 38670263 38880467 39890517 43470487
       43790493 46000607 47190550 47870410 47990078 47569785
       46569599 43649367 42638926 42028710 41738673 41508609
       40158377 37528162 32357928
MRGL   43847797 42867584 41637443 40647436 39837512 39637598
       41298176 42238377 43508535 44498498 44618359 44398171
TSTM   28389347 29839463 30129464 31219323 31118980 31028945
       32038751 33498712 35128880 36048988 37599120 38339200
       39189414 38659705 38639869 38600081 37390278 35800405
       33760378 32780358 31820200 28890142 99999999 37037466
       36857558 36877594 36717720 37227861 37307927 37007991
       35658069 34898013 34177943 33697873 33447832 33777711
       99999999 49609922 48839644 47789421 47029324 45709272
       44489397 43879148 43789108 43648848 42828623 43918614
       45108475 45378222 46208182 99999999 46097087 44797093
       43917153 43207230 42087277 41257222 40607236 40277177
       99999999 31621618 33411690 34261717 35661795 36421873
       37722011 38932055 39982038 40721939 40991819 41271731
       42011626 42581524 43521354 44291425 45741526 47141590
       47161727 46771946 46742092 47162188 47922246 49582285

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60
SSW 2WX 70 NNE RAP 30 WSW HON 25 W FSD 25 WSW DBQ 30 WNW VPZ 55 S
SBN 35 SSW MIE 60 SSE SDF 50 E BWG 25 SSE BWG 10 N HOP 25 NNW PAH
45 WNW STL 35 SE IRK 20 NW IRK 20 WNW LWD 25 SSW OMA 35 NNE GLD 35
S AKO 45 NNW LIC 50 WNW AKO 65 WSW RAP 60 SSW 2WX

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 S IPL 25 ENE TRM 55 S LAS 35 E LAS 60 N IGM 30 ENE IGM 65 SSE
IGM 40 ESE BLH 35 SSE YUM

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 E DAB 25 WSW GNV 15 E TLH 30 NW AUO 20 E VIH 35 NNW SZL 30 W
FNB 50 S EAR 40 N LAA  0 - COS 15 WNW DEN 55 NNE DGW 50 SE GCC 30
SSW MLS 35 W GDV 15 NNE SDY 30 SE MOT 40 SW GFK 20 SSW DTL 40 NNW
MCW 10 W JVL 40 N VPZ 25 NE VPZ 20 SE SBN 30 NE DAY 30 NW BLF 60
SE CHS

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 NNW ROC 25 SE SYR 20 ESE MSV 10 WSW EWR  0 - PHL 20 W ILG 10
SSE CLE  0 - ARB 45 N GRR 20 WNW HTL 15 NW OSC 75 NE BAX

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SE GLS 35 NNE
GLS 40 WNW BPT 10 NNW POE 35 SW PIB 30 SSW PIB 40 SW SEM 20 WSW
BHM 35 SSE MKL 25 W DYR 50 SE VIH 20 NW VIH 25 E MKC 40 SSW MHK 15
SSE RSL 45 N GCK 10 NW SPD 50 NNW TCC 50 SSW CVS 20 WNW HOB 15 SE
MAF 45 SW DRT ...CONT... 75 SE WAL 35 E ORF 15 E ORF 35 ENE RZZ 35
ESE LYH  0 - LYH 20 S ROA 35 NNE CLT 50 WSW SOP 15 E FLO 10 E CRE
40 ESE CRE 55 SE ILM ...CONT... 105 N DVL 25 ENE HCO 40 ENE BJI 30
SW HIB 60 NNE MSP 20 N MKT 10 W LSE 10 SE LSE 25 S OSH 25 S MKG 25
SSE MBL 35 S PLN 70 ENE APN 115 NE APN ...CONT... 100 N BML 15 NE
BML 25 NNW LCI 20 N EEN  0 - BAF 10 WSW GON 40 ESE ISP 65 S BID
...CONT... 70 SSE CZZ 50 NNE SAN 25 NE RAL 15 W NID 70 SSW BIH 40
NE MER 30 W TVL 45 NW RNO 60 NW LOL 20 WNW WMC 35 NE WMC  0 - OWY
40 W TWF 40 E SUN 55 N SUN 35 SSE P69 40 SW 3TH 30 NNW PUW 35 S
EPH 20 NW YKM 30 SE SEA 35 NNW SEA 55 NNW BLI