482
FNUS21 KWNS 020802
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 AM CST Mon Mar 02 2026

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...Synopsis...
Low-amplitude ridging over the Southwest is forecast to break down
and move eastward ahead of a mid-level trough moving from central CA
into the western Great Basin. Westerly flow aloft is forecast to
increase over parts of the Southwest and southern Rockies in
response. While the stronger flow will remain to the west, dry
downslope winds and warm temperatures are expected to support
elevated fire-weather conditions this afternoon from eastern NM into
parts of CO.

...Eastern NM and central/southern CO...
Ahead of the advancing mid-level trough, downslope winds are
expected across parts of the southern Rockies and immediate
foothills. The backdoor cold front across the High Plains will
modify quickly as lee troughing intensifies in response to the
strengthening flow aloft. This will support downslope winds of 15-20
mph through the afternoon. This, along with warm temperatures,
should support afternoon RH values as low as 15%. Overlapped with
abundant fine fuels and recent fire activity, several hours of
elevated fire-weather conditions are possible.

Similar dry and breezy conditions are expected farther west near the
Four Corners, beneath the upper trough this afternoon. However,
fuels here are much less receptive than farther east. While some
localized fire-weather conditions are possible, limited fuels should
negate more widespread fire-weather concerns.

..Lyons.. 03/02/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$