Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
409 FNUS21 KWNS 050801 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0200 AM CST Wed Feb 05 2025 Valid 051200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... A shortwave trough, embedded within stronger westerly flow, will cross the Rockies and eject over the Plains through the forecast period. In response to the increase in flow aloft, a surface low will move eastward from the Great Basin and intensify in the lee of the Rockies. This will support periods of strong winds and low humidity over parts of the Southwest and High Plains. Elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions are possible. ...High Plains and Southwest... As the upper trough crosses the Rockies, low-level westerly winds are expected to increase across central NM and parts of eastern AZ, scouring out a shallow cold air mass from a stalled cold front farther east. Aided by the increasing flow aloft, surface winds of 15-25 mph and higher gusts are likely, especially through terrain-favored areas across central NM. Ample heating/mixing should promote RH reductions into the teens to upper single digits. The combination of increasing winds with falling RH over areas of rapidly drying fuels should allow for sustained elevated to locally critical fire-weather conditions. ..Lyons.. 02/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$