345
FNUS21 KWNS 170605
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0104 AM CDT Sat May 17 2025

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

...Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough and associated speed maximum is
forecast to progress from Baja into the desert southwest during the
morning and afternoon. Deep boundary-layer mixing and lee
cyclogenesis over the southern High Plains will result in critical
conditions over much of southern New Mexico into portions of far
West Texas and far southeastern Arizona.

...Southern New Mexico...
As the boundary-layer mixes and the surface cyclone over the
southern High Plains deepens, sustained surface winds of 20-25 MPH
coupled with 5-10% relative humidity and receptive fuels are
anticipated. Critical meteorological conditions are also expected in
portions of eastern New Mexico and West Texas, as well as parts of
Arizona along the Mogollon Rim. However, current fuels guidance
indicates fuels are at or below their typical seasonal values,
warranting only Elevated highlights at this time.

..Halbert.. 05/17/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$