Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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196
FNUS21 KWNS 191650
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1149 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Valid 191700Z - 201200Z

No changes are needed to the D1 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
discussion below for more information.

..Thornton.. 10/19/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1257 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024/

...Synopsis...
Localized elevated fire weather conditions are anticipated this
morning through early afternoon across parts of coastal southern
California. 05 UTC surface observations show a handful of stations
within the higher terrain of the southern CA coast maintaining
sustained 15-20 mph winds with 5-15% RH. These conditions are
expected to persist through early afternoon, but will become
increasingly localized. This will occur as regional gradient winds
gradually abate through the day with the occlusion of the synoptic
low over central AZ. However, latest ensemble guidance continues to
suggest that a pocket of more persistent elevated conditions
(characterized by 5-10% RH with 15-20 mph winds) will linger for
several hours within the lee of the San Gabriel mountains.

Further north through the Sacramento Valley, localized elevated
conditions are expected this afternoon - particularly across the
northwestern Valley where breezy northerly down-valley winds will
support pockets of 15-20 mph with RH minimums in the teens. However,
with the weakening of the regional pressure gradient, these
conditions should remain fairly localized.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$