Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
890 FNUS21 KWNS 311640 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026 Valid 311700Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The ongoing forecast remains on track. See the previous discussion for more information. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 05/31/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0105 AM CDT Sun May 31 2026/ ...Synopsis... Fire weather concerns will be limited for today across the country. Early-morning surface observations show the driest conditions across eastern AZ into central NM where overnight RH values have struggled to climb out of the teens. Very dry conditions will prevail across AZ/NM for today (afternoon RH minimums in the single digits to low teens), and fine fuel analyses and recent fire activity in NM suggest that some fuels are favorable for fire spread. However, recent guidance continues to suggest winds across the region will be fairly light - generally 10-15 mph. This limits confidence in an appreciable fire weather threat away from more prominent central NM terrain features. Similarly, dry conditions will prevail across the Great Lakes and upper MS River Valley region, but weak winds within the dry air mass will modulate fire weather concerns. A swath of elevated fire weather conditions will likely emerge across southeast WY within a downslope flow regime, but recent rainfall has likely improved fuel moisture content. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$