Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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806
FNUS21 KWNS 031637
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025

Valid 031700Z - 041200Z

Eastern extent of Elevated highlights in portions of eastern New
Mexico and the far western Texas Panhandle was trimmed slightly back
to the west. This is to account for recent precipitation and
considerably higher relative humidity, which should continue to
overspread far eastern New Mexico from portions northwestern Texas
through the day. Otherwise, the previous forecast (see below)
remains on track.

..Squitieri/Williams.. 04/03/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0151 AM CDT Thu Apr 03 2025/

...Synopsis...
Within the base of a highly amplified large-scale trough over the
West, a 70-80-kt midlevel southwesterly speed maximum will emerge
over the southern High Plains. In response, a weak lee cyclone will
develop over southeast CO, while another broad/weak surface cyclone
forms along the tail end of a front south of the TX Big Bend. Aided
by downslope flow and diurnal heating on the western edge of
increasing cloud coverage, a corridor of 15-20 percent RH will
develop from southern NM northeastward to far southeast CO. Here,
around 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds will favor
elevated fire-weather conditions. Locally elevated fire-weather
conditions are also possible over the TX Big Bend, where dry/breezy
conditions are expected north of the surface cyclone.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$