Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
134 FNUS21 KWNS 101605 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1105 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026 Valid 101700Z - 111200Z The forecast remains on track for elevated fire weather conditions across eastern Idaho, southwestern Montana, and portions of the northern Plains today. Poor overnight humidity recoveries occurred across much of Wyoming and southern Montana, contributing to widespread critical RH values as depicted by 15z surface observations. Deep vertical mixing will allow sustained surface winds to accelerate to 15-20 mph (gusts up to 30 mph) this afternoon amid receptive fuels, maintaining a broader fire weather threat. Please see the previous discussion for details. ..Elizalde-Garcia.. 09/10/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0101 AM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026/ ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough and attendant increasing westerly flow aloft will push southward into the northwestern U.S. today. At the surface, broad troughing across the Canadian Prairies will stretch towards the Northern Rockies, where an increasing surface pressure gradient will bring stronger westerly winds to much of the Northwest, northern Rockies and northern High Plains. Although the elevated winds will span a large geographic area, fuels remain most receptive across portions of the northern Rockies and northern High Plains where Elevated Highlights remain. ...Eastern Idaho, southern Montana and portions of Wyoming... Low-level winds will accelerate across much of the northwestern U.S. and northern Plains in response to an expanding surface trough that stretches from the Canadian Prairies region into the northern High Plains/Northern Rockies. A dry air mass remains in place across much of the Intermountain West where afternoon RH is likely to fall into the 10-15% range in lower elevations this afternoon, following poor recoveries in some locations this morning. Fire weather concerns will be focused across eastern ID, portions of WY, southern MT and far southwestern ND where fuels remain most receptive. The overlapping west winds of 15-20 mph and low RH amid dry fuels will support elevated fire weather conditions for several hours from late morning through the afternoon. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$