Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
928 FNUS21 KWNS 310717 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0216 AM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A potent upper-level trough will begin to move onshore over the Pacific Northwest tonight, with upper-level ridging ahead of this trough extending from the Desert Southwest into the northern Rockies. An embedded, mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to precede the larger trough and move from northern California into the northern Rockies through this afternoon while weakening. Hot, dry, and locally breezy conditions are likely across much of the West, especially the Intermountain West, this afternoon, with locally elevated fire weather conditions possible. The lack of widespread, sustained surface winds above 15 mph precludes the inclusion of Elevated highlights, however. Isolated, drier thunderstorms are possible across portions of central/eastern Idaho and southwest Montana this afternoon and evening, but the latest SREF/HREF guidance continues to suggest less than a 20% chance and generally less than a 10% chance of thunderstorms. Somewhat greater chances for thunderstorms exist farther east into portions of Wyoming, but this activity is likely to be wetter and over less receptive fuels. Elsewhere, monsoonal thunderstorms remain likely over portions of southeastern Arizona and along/east of the Continental Divide in Colorado and New Mexico. ..Chalmers.. 07/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$