Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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445
FNUS53 KDTX 032001
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
401 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

...Elevated Fire Danger this Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure ensures dry conditions and near record
warmth through the weekend with highs well into the 80s and min RH
dipping to around 30 to 40 percent each afternoon. Recent expanding
drought conditions and drying vegetation brings elevated fire weather
concerns through this stretch. A cold front tracks through lower
Michigan late Monday into Tuesday, bringing the next chance for
widespread rain.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
401 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6670-7170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (812).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7110-7610 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (978).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
401 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5190-5690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (558).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6950-7450 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (854).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
401 PM EDT Fri Oct 3 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6750-7250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (597).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......7270-7770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming south early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (796).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
60s.

$$

TF