238
FNUS53 KDTX 181948
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
348 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions with above normal temperatures, moderate
humidity, and light wind continue throughout the week.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-190815-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
348 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (287).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......440-640 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4510-5010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (566).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-190815-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
348 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4510-5010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (249).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast up to 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......480-680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (438).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-190815-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
348 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4720-5220 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (291).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming east up to 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......460-660 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5030-5530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (478).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

DRK