Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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579
FNUS53 KDTX 160750
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
350 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...High pressure drifts overhead today sustaining dry and
seasonable conditions. A warming trend brings temps into the mid to
upper 60s on Friday and well into the 70s on Saturday. Scattered
showers mainly in the north on Friday, then widespread rain
becomes likely late Saturday into Sunday as a strong low pressure
system tracks through the Great Lakes.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
350 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 5 am until 8 am.
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (149).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1230-1730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (251).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-162115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
350 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 5 am until 8 am.
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (271).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....38-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......980-1480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (224).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
350 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost after 5 am
                    until 8 am.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3860-4360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (321).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph early in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......640-840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1840-2340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (326).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$

TF