764
FNUS53 KDTX 191942
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
342 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions with above normal temperatures, moderate
humidity, and light southeast wind continue into tomorrow. Scattered
light showers will then be possible starting late tomorrow afternoon
into tomorrow night ahead of a cold front. Dry and warm conditions
are likely to start this weekend with the next potential round of
rain moving in Sunday afternoon. More seasonable temperatures move
in early next week with continued rain chances.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-200815-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
342 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm. Chance of showers after 2 pm.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3520-4020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (530).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6120-6620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-200815-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
342 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3570-4070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (468).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming west around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4620-5120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (451).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-200815-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
342 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Slight chance of showers after 2 pm.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5670-6170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (579).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......640-840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5590-6090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (648).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

AA