Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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053
FNUS53 KDTX 141932
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
332 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...An upper low brings pulse type shower and thunderstorm
chances to the region this evening. Seasonably warm with
temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s through Thursday. A more
organized chance for strong to severe thunderstorms exists tomorrow
night between 10pm and 3am as a cold front tracks through the area.
Cooler weather expected over the weekend. High maximum RHs are be
expected today and through the weekend.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-150815-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
332 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4880-5380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (781).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2 am, then chance
                    of showers until 5 am. Chance of precipitation
                    90 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......7660-8160 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (2022).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-150815-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
332 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3970-4470 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (643).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 am. Chance of thunderstorms until 5 am.
                    Chance of showers after 2 am until 5 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (36).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1565).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-150815-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
332 PM EDT Wed May 14 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4650-5150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (748).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers until
                    2 am. Chance of thunderstorms until 5 am.
                    Chance of showers after 2 am until 5 am. Chance
                    of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming around 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1582).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. North winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$

AM