Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
242 FXXX01 KWNP 222201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Nov 22 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 22/1546Z from Region 3905 (S10E66). There are currently 11 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (23 Nov, 24 Nov, 25 Nov). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 438 km/s at 22/1010Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 22/0821Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at 22/2051Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 125 pfu at 22/0355Z. Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 5 pfu at 21/2130Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 180 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (23 Nov, 24 Nov, 25 Nov). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (23 Nov).