981
FXXX01 KWNP 172201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 Oct 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to
17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at
17/0505Z from Region 3852 (S15W65). There are currently 8 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate
with a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three
(18 Oct, 19 Oct, 20 Oct).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 481 km/s at 17/0003Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 17/0144Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
17/0132Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 456 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (18 Oct, 19
Oct, 20 Oct). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on days
one, two, and three (18 Oct, 19 Oct, 20 Oct).