319
FXXX01 KWNP 042201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 Oct 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at
04/0455Z from Region 3842 (S15W21). There are currently 9 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate
with a chance for X-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 Oct, 06
Oct, 07 Oct).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 454 km/s at 04/0214Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
04/0128Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
04/2016Z.  Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 160 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at active to severe storm levels on days one and two (05 Oct, 06
Oct) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (07 Oct). Protons
have a chance of crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (05 Oct,
06 Oct, 07 Oct).