Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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Spot Forecast for Cedar Bluffs RX Fire...Mahaska County Conservation Booard
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
724 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on February 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Seasonal fire weather conditions can be expected today with no
extremes in temperature, wind, or humidity. It will be dry with
winds gradually becoming light easterly.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 35.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    8 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (19500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (19500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................2.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  70  76  83  89  89  89
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............26  29  31  33  34  35  33
RH..............55  51  49  47  45  43  47
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.8 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   7   7   8   7
GFDI............1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..9   9   11  15  17  20  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
SDspl kt-ft/10009   9   11  15  17  20  8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 13.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north 8 to 14 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast 9 to
                    17 mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the north around 20 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................2.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  91  91  92  91  90  89  87  84  82  80  79
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  30  28  27  26  25  25  23  21  20  18  16
RH..............51  53  58  60  62  65  65  68  77  81  77  84
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   8   10  10  12  13  13  14
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   12  13  15  18  18  20  21  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   NE  N   NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   9   10  10  15  17  17  20  20
GFDI............2   2   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   3   6   8   8   18  21  24  30  30
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   2   3   6   8   8   18  21  24  30  30

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 23.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32100 knot-ft).
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32100 knot-ft).
GFDI................4.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  76  73  71  71  72  72  68  65  62  66  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............15  14  13  14  16  18  20  21  22  23  22  22
RH..............80  73  73  73  64  59  54  49  47  43  43  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.22  23  23  22  21  21  20  20  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.21  21  20  20  20  18  17  16  16  16  16  15
GFDI............3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  34  33  35  38  39  39  40  39  39  37  35
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
SDspl kt-ft/100032  34  33  35  38  39  39  40  39  39  37  35

$$
Forecaster...Small
Requested by...Steve Nugteren
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502637.0/DMX
.DELDT 02/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nugteren@mahaskacountyia.gov