Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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Spot Forecast for Prairie Flower Campground...USACE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
756 AM CST Wed Nov 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

No fire weather concerns today with relatively restrained winds
and cool temperatures. Winds begin the day out of the northeast
and gradually become more northerly through the day at 5 to 10
mph. A few gusts to around 15 mph are possible at times this
afternoon. RH levels only bottom out around 60 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 13 mph.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  81  82  76  75  65  59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  40  41  42  42  41  39
RH..............70  64  65  60  60  59  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   12  13  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.4 1.5 0.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   12  10  10  10  12  13
GFDI............1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 20 mph.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........56     58     80     72     67     57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............36     32     29     27     26     25
RH..............67     75     78     81     85     81
20 ft wind......N 8    N 10   N 9    N 9    NW 9   NW 9
20 ft wind gust.14     15     15     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1600   1800   2200   1900   2200
Transport wind..N 16   N 18   N 17   N 17   N 17   N 16
GFDI............2      2      2      1      1      1
Haines index....3      3      3      2      2      2

.THANKSGIVING DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 33.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 17 mph.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........34        34        21        25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............25        26        30        33
RH..............81        78        66        58
20 FT wind......NW 9G14   NW 10G15  NW 12G17  NW 12G17
Mix hgt (ft)....2300      2200      3200      3400
Transport wind..N 17      N 16      NW 15     W 17
GFDI............1         2         3         3
Haines index....2         2         4         4

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Coty Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427415.0/DMX
.DELDT 11/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL coty.a.thompson@usace.army.mil