072
FNUS73 KDMX 191542
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Schmeal...Story County Conservation
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1042 AM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly sunny today with a few high passing clouds. The afternoon
high will reach around 57 degrees with wind from the northwest at
5 to 10 mph, with occasional gusts near 15 mph. Relative humidity
will drop to around 30% this afternoon.

Wind shifts to out of the east on Sunday, becoming breezy with
gusts 20-25 mph and widespread rain much of the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (45100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (69300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................4.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  27  32  25  38  44  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  50  52  53  55  55  55
RH..............42  36  38  35  31  31  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  9   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  15  14  14  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.6 5.1 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  17  14  13  15  10  9
GFDI............3   3   3   4   4   3   3
Smoke Dispersal.63  69  61  59  55  50  45
Smoke Cat.......GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east 6
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph shifting to the east 8 to 16
                    mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (33400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................2.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     11     16     39     44     60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............55     50     45     42     40     39
RH..............32     41     51     60     64     67
20 ft wind......N 7    N 6    NE 6   E 6    E 7    E 7
20 ft wind gust.10     8      9      10     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....5600   600    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 7    NE 8   NE 10  E 12   E 13   E 16
GFDI............2      2      1      1      1      1
Smoke Dispersal.33     4      4      4      4      6
Smoke Cat.......POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20
                    mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 24 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................4.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........77        87        94        96
Weather cov.....                    LIKELY    DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............39        44        50        48
RH..............70        65        68        86
20 FT wind......E 8G16    E 12G20   E 15G23   E 17G26
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1100      1900      1700
Transport wind..E 16      E 20      E 25      E 26
GFDI............2         3         4         5
Smoke Dispersal.7         18        40        39
Smoke Cat.......POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Hagenhoff
Requested by...Brandon Clough
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511065.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bclough@storycountyiowa.gov