891
FNUS73 KDLH 042028
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Illgen Falls SAR...SLCRS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
328 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on July 04.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and humid conditions expected this afternoon into the evening,
with southeast onshore winds becoming southwesterly inland, at
6-8mph this afternoon, decreasing through the evening hours.

Chances for rain and thunderstorms increase after 8pm as a line of
strong to severe storms moves northwest to southeast into the area.
Heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and strong winds are possible.
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 9PM CDT. Rainfall
amounts from 8pm through 7am Saturday of 1-2 inches are possible.
Rain and thunderstorms are expected to continue overnight into
Saturday morning.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...69 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Ceiling (kft).......22 decreasing to 3.2.
Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 8 after 3 am.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  30  20  30  30  40  50  50  70  50
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  20  30  20  30  30  40  50  50  70  50
Temp............78  78  75  72  71  71  70  69  69  67  67  66
RH..............64  64  71  79  81  79  81  84  84  90  90  93
Surface wnd dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  W
Surface wnd spd.6   6   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
Surface wnd gst.14  14  13  10  9   10  10  12  10  9   8   8
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  24  22  23  19  18  13  8.3 7.0 5.0 3.2
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...96 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming north around 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......1.5 decreasing to 1.0 early in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 0.7 early in the morning
                    decreasing to 0.5 late in the morning
                    decreasing to 0.4 increasing to 0.5 late in the
                    morning increasing to 1.1 increasing to 1.7
                    early in the afternoon increasing to 2.5
                    increasing to 3.3 late in the afternoon
                    increasing to 9.3.
Visibility (sm).....5 decreasing to 4 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 6 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 8 late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC LKY DEF LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY DEF LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  70  80  70  90  90  100 100 90  70  30  30
Chc of thdr (%).50  70  80  70  90  90  100 100 90  70  30  30
Temp............64  67  68  69  71  72  73  74  74  74  75  75
RH..............100 97  97  93  87  84  79  76  79  79  74  69
Surface wnd dir.SW  S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   10  12  14  15
Ceiling (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.3 4.1 9.3
Visibility (sm).6   6   5   4   4   4   6   7   8   9   10  10

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke
                    early in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Chance of showers in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...25 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Surface winds (mph).North winds around 6 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......15 increasing to 23.
Visibility (sm).....10 in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).30  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  75  73  69  67  65  64  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............66  64  66  70  70  73  72  70  71  73  75  76
Surface wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Surface wnd spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.16  17  17  17  17  17  18  18  18  17  16  16
Ceiling (kft)...15  20  21  23  24
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Holly
Requested by...Justin LeBlanc
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2517338.0/DLH
.DELDT 07/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nwsduluth-slcrs@noaa.gov