481
FNUS73 KDLH 160845
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for FOR028Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
345 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0730 CDT on July 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds occur today under scattered light rain
showers. The light winds help to limit the Smoke Dispersal today
to Poor to Fair. Expect increasing rain shower and isolated
thunderstorm chances late tonight when a brief and localized
period of a quarter-inch to half-inch of new rainfall may occur.
This would only be under the strongest thunderstorm though that
is forecast to be fairly localized. Small hail and gusty, erratic
winds cannot be ruled out either late tonight into early Friday
morning. Southerly winds prevail Friday daytime before another
late afternoon chances of thunderstorms in the general area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Smoke through
                    the day. Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Variable around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1500-19400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.05 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     30     30
Temp............61     68     75     79     79     78
RH..............87     70     54     47     45     50
20 ft wind......NW 1   S 1    E 2    SE 2   SW 2   S 3
20 ft wind gust.2      5      6      6      8      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    3100   4600   3900   2300
Transport wind..N 5    NE 5   E 5    SE 3   W 6    S 6
SDspl kt-ft/10002      3      12     14     19     11

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Smoke through
                    the night. Chance of showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.17 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  40  50
Temp............77  74  71  68  66  64  63  62  62  62  61  60
RH..............52  57  64  70  73  78  78  78  78  78  81  87
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   10  9   9   9
SDspl kt-ft/10007   6   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Smoke through the day.
                    Chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Showers through the day. Secondary chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the southwest 9
                    to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3600-22500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (37200-49500 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.40 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  60  60  60  70  60  40  60  80  80  80
Temp............60  61  63  66  68  72  75  77  79  79  79  78
RH..............90  97  100 93  93  84  76  71  67  67  69  71
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   W   SE  S   S   S   SW  S   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.8   7   8   9   11  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.5 3.8 3.4 3.4
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  9   12  10  9   10  14  15  13  15
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   7   7   12  15  17  23  42  50  37  44

$$
Forecaster...Nathan
Requested by...Owen Johnson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617316.3/DLH
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL owen.johnson@usda.gov