Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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259
FNUS73 KDLH 191955
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Kosmo Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
255 PM CDT Fri Sep 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on September 20.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Conditions Saturday will be slightly warmer as a weak warm front
moves through the Northland. As a result, chances for showers
continue into Saturday at the burn site. Accumulations, however,
are expected to be light - up to 0.1". Chances for thunderstorms
is little to none, as the best environment for general
thunderstorms will likely remain south of Highway 2. As the low
pressure to the west approaches, initially gusty easterly winds in
the morning will taper off through the afternoon.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.09 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40
Temp............55  57  58  59  59  59  59  59  60  60
RH..............96  93  93  93  93  96  96  96  93  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  16  16  15  15  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  14  15  15  13  12  12  12
SDspl kt-ft/10008   9   9   9   11  11  8   7   7   6

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............60  59  57  57  57  56  55  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............93  96  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  11  9   7   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south late
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600-10700 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............55  55  56  58  60  61  62  63  64  64  64  63
RH..............100 100 100 100 96  94  92  90  88  87  87  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   2   3   4   6   9   10  11  10  8   5

$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Justin OBrien
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522214.0/DLH
.DELDT 09/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL justin.obrien@usda.gov