146
FNUS73 KDLH 090804
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crosby...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
304 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on October 09.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Primarily southerly winds will prevail today at the fire site. Expect
seasonable high temperatures in the upper-50s and a minimum relative
humidity around 50% this afternoon. Localized and light rain shower
chances build this evening after 1700 LT and are highest 1900-2100 LT.
Up to one tenth of an inch of very localized may (40 percent chance)
be observed from any passing rain shower. A wind shift to southwesterly
will occur late this evening, then further westerly late tonight before
finally becoming gusty from the northwest by early Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (10000-20700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (2600
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............40  44  49  51  54  55  55  56  57  57
RH..............90  77  65  60  55  52  52  52  52  54
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   8   8   6   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.8   10  11  14  14  14  14  14  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   12  13  14  15  13  10  9   7
SDspl kt-ft/10002   4   11  14  21  24  20  12  6   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 2000-2100 LT, then again shifting to
                    the west late tonight 0300-0400 LT.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph shifting to the west 13 to 14
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200-9600 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     40     50     40     40     30
Temp............55     53     53     53     53     54
RH..............59     70     75     77     76     76
20 ft wind......SE 4   S 4    S 5    SW 6   SW 5   W 5
20 ft wind gust.9      11     14     16     18     16
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    600    400    700    700
Transport wind..S 8    S 10   SW 16  SW 15  SW 15  W 14
SDspl kt-ft/10002      4      9      5      10     8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 32
                    mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (9500-19100 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (53100-84400 knot-ft) in the
                    late morning and afternoon decreasing to good
                    (44200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     CLEAR     MCLEAR    PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30        30        30        40
Temp............52        51        54        57
RH..............81        74        61        57
20 FT wind......W 6G19    NW 9G22   NW 10G22  NW 10G21
Mix hgt (ft)....700       2100      3000      2400
Transport wind..NW 15     NW 26     NW 31     NW 31
SDspl kt-ft/100010        48        80        64

$$
Forecaster...Nathan
Requested by...Jennifer Opsal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523201.1/DLH
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov