060
FXUS63 KDLH 032347
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
647 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Weak clipper will bring light mixed precipitation Friday PM
  and ending Saturday morning. Around or less than an inch of
  new snowfall is expected in northern Minnesota.

- Below normal temperatures this weekend warm to above normal by
  middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Mild weather through Friday afternoon continues. An approaching
cold front Friday afternoon builds rain and snow shower chances
first in north-central Minnesota in the afternoon hours, which
spreads eastward in the evening. Any mixed rain/snow showers
turns over to all snowfall in the mid to late evening hours.
There is 80-90% confidence in at least a Trace of snowfall for
nearly all of northern Minnesota Friday night into early
Saturday morning. The highest expected snowfall (up to 2 inches)
is most likely (50-60% chance) along and north of the Iron Range.

Northerly flow behind the cold front by Saturday afternoon keeps
below normal temperatures in place for the rest of the weekend
and into early next week. A secondary vort max drops southward
late weekend to produce another, but lesser, amount of light
snow chances again Sunday.

High amplitude ridging sets up mid next week to allow a warming
trend to setup beginning Wednesday and especially notable into
Thursday when temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal are
possible (60-70% chance).

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 647 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Broken to overcast MVFR ceilings persist this evening into early
tonight. Some scattered showers/sprinkles/flurries north of the
Iron Range persist into tonight in the vicinity of INL and HIB,
so a VCSH was included. We do expect some patchy fog development
tonight due to melting snow moistening the low levels of the
atmosphere, with MVFR visibility included at all terminals
aside from INL for the 06Z/08Z until 12Z timeframe. There is a
30 percent chance for fog to lower to IFR visibility tonight at
DLH, HIB, BRD, and HYR, but confidence was too low to include in
the TAF. Expect ceilings at most sites to deteriorate to MVFR
later tonight/Friday morning and throughout Friday as a cold
front moves into north-central Minnesota during the day, with
BRD reaching IFR ceilings in the afternoon. Light rain/snow
showers are forecast with the cold front, impacting INL/BRD in
the afternoon.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 637 PM CDT Thu Apr 3 2025

Tonight and tomorrow, wind speeds are expected to fall
below 10 knots ahead of an incoming cold front, leading to a
wind shift from the northwest. No other hazardous conditions are
expected through Friday.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...NLy
AVIATION...Rothstein
MARINE...Rothstein