Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
587
FXXX12 KWNP 070031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2025 Mar 07 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels with only low level C-class flaring
observed. Slight decay and separation was observed in Region 4012
(S13E07, Eki/beta-gamma). Slight decay was observed in Region 4007
(S11W85, Dso/beta) as it approached the SW limb. The rest of the spotted
regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed.

.Forecast...
A chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, along with a slight
chance for an isolated R3 (Strong) event, will persist through 09 Mar
primarily due to the flare potential of AR 4012 and the evolution
presented by AR 4016.

Energetic Particles

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to
moderate levels through 09 Mar. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background levels through 09 Mar barring a
significant eruption.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters were mildly enhanced with solar wind speed ranging
from about 435-525 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-8 nT while the Bz
component was between +7/-6 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

.Forecast...
A gradual decline of solar wind conditions is anticipated through 07
Mar. CIR influences ahead of a recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS are
expected by late 08 Mar through 09 Mar..

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

.Forecast...
Mostly quiet conditions are expected on 07 Mar as weak, glancing CME
effects continue to wane. Unsettled to active levels are expected on 08
Mar as CIR effects ahead of a recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS become
geoeffective.