Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
407 FXXX12 KWNP 250031 DAYDIS :Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2024 Nov 25 0030 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Forecast Discussion # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity remained at moderate levels as a region from beyond the NE limb produced an M1.1 flare, the largest of the period, at 24/2022 UTC. Region 3906 (S16E45, Dki/beta-gamma-delta) continued to evolve, maintained a weak delta configuration, and produced the majority of the C-class flare activity. Region 3908 (N14E65, Hax/alpha) was the only other region to produce any notable flares, despite its steady decay as it rotated further into view. Region 3901 (S07W22, Cao/beta-gamma) had weak development in its trailing spots. Region 3903 (S10W59, Dao/beta-gamma) decayed early in the period, but had several trailer spots redevelop late in the period. Region 3505 (S09E39, Eko/beta-gamma) added several intermediate spots, Region 3906 began to show signs of separation, and Region 3907 gained a few intermediate and trailing spots during the period. New spots were noted near N26E01 and were subsequently numbered as Region 3909 (N26W03, Bxo/beta). The remaining regions were stable and quiet. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be low, with M-class flares (R1/R2-Minor/Moderate) likely, and a slight chance for X-class (R3-Strong) events 25-27 Nov. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux returned to background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels, and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux levels are expected to remain at background conditions on 25-27 Nov. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters reflected weak, negative polarity CH HSS influence. Solar wind speeds averaged around 440 km/s, total field varied between 5-9 nT, and the Bz component fluctuated between +/-8 nT. Phi was solidly negative. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to begin decreasing on 25 Nov, returning to near ambient levels by 26-27 Nov. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is likely to be unsettled to isolated active early on 25 Nov and mostly to be mostly quiet late on 25 Nov through 27 Nov.