925
FGUS63 KMSR 201749
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1249 PM CDT TUE MAY 20 2025



IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0519 Z DH12 /DC2505201749/DVD134/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:             Valid  Period: 05/19/2025 - 09/30/2025
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      49.6/   49.6/   49.7/   49.7/   49.8/   49.9/   50.2
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      49.6/   49.6/   49.7/   49.7/   49.8/   49.9/   50.2
.END


IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED FLOW LEVELS (KCFS) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0901 Z DH12 /DC2505201749/DVD90/QIVFZNT/QIVFZN9/QIVFZNH
.B1 /QIVFZN5/QIVFZNG/QIVFZN1/QIVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Flows (kcfs) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 09/01/2025 - 11/30/2025
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      48.9/   48.5/   48.1/   47.8/   47.7/   47.5/   47.4
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      48.9/   48.5/   48.1/   47.8/   47.7/   47.5/   47.4
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$