


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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769 FXUS63 KDDC 301938 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 238 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms come to an end from west to east this evening into tonight - Next shot at precipitation will be mid week but in be in the slight chance range (15-30 percent) behind a cold front - Below normal temperatures continue through the forecast period with Thursday being the coolest && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 238 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025 Showers and embedded thunderstorms end from west to east tonight as a weak trough of low pressure moves through the area. Winds will generally be from a easterly to northerly direction and remain light throughout the night. Skies become mostly clear to partly cloudy across the western half of the CWA overnight with the eastern half remaining partly to mostly cloudy. Lows tonight are expected to range from the upper 50s across far western Kansas to mid 60s across south central Kansas. A dry pattern emerges tomorrow through the first part of next week with northwest flow aloft. A few showers or storms will be possible across central Kansas through Monday then be pushed southward as a dry cold front moves through the area Monday night. Winds will generally be light and from a northerly direction through Tuesday. Highs Sunday through Tuesday will generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s with far western Kansas experiencing the warmest temperatures. Lows will generally be in the 50s. Long range ensemble models then depict an upper level low diving south from Canada and into the northern Plains mid week. This will push a cold front through the area sometime Wednesday shifting winds to the north. As of now temperatures do not seem to be effected by this front Wednesday with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s, but this may need to be adjusted if the front moves through earlier than expected. Cloud cover increases behind this front with a slight chance of rain. However this will be short lived as the dry pattern reemerges throughout the remainder of the forecast with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Cooler temperatures are expected Thursday behind the front with highs in the 70s. We then rebound into the upper 70s to low 80s late week into the weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1145 AM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025 Low clouds will hang around bringing MVFR to IFR conditions. Some clearing may be seen across GCK and LBL terminals by morning. A weak cold front will move through the area with wind from the east to north at less than 10 knots behind the front. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42 AVIATION...Hovorka_42