520
FXUS63 KDDC 111048
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
548 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- After this morning`s rain, there are small chances for
  additional showers today.

- After a cool day today, a warming trend is forecast, with mid
  to upper 90s for highs by Thursday.

- An extended hot and mainly dry period can be expected that
  will last well into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

An upper level trough will be situated across southwest Kansas
this afternoon, although the strong forcing for ascent will be
well east of this area. Mid level temperatures will still be
below climatology; and with left over moisture, isolated|
showers and t-storms cannot be ruled out (10-20% chance) with
daytime heating between noon and 5 pm. Below average highs in
the lower to mid 80s are forecast.

The upper level trough will be well east of here by Tuesday and
an upper level ridge will shift eastward over the high plains
into late week. The mid to high level westerlies and associated
frontal boundaries will retreat into the northern tier of
states, resulting in mainly dry weather across southwest Kansas.
High temperatures will warm from the 80s Tuesday to the mid to
upper 90s by Thursday.

The various ensemble means indicate a large upper level ridge
persisting across the high plains and southern Rockies through
next week. This will keep any rainfall isolated at best and
temperatures will remain above seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 544 AM CDT Mon Aug 11 2025

Rain showers will be ending this morning between 12-14z. Light
winds are expected through the period given the weak pressure
gradient. There is a very small chance of showers or
thunderstorms between 18-23z with daytime heating as an upper
level trough slowly moves east. VFR conditions are expected to
prevail aside from any isolated pockets of MVFR CIGS early this
morning associated with the showers.


&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for KSZ066-078>081-
088>090.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Finch