Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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930
FXUS63 KDDC 210230
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
930 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

...Updated Aviation/Key Messages...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot August afternoons will continue for the next several days,
  with high temperatures well above late August normals.

- Rain chances are very limited through the weekend, but are
  expected to improve next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

Ridge of high pressure remains situated across the Southwest.
The placement of this feature will result in hot temperatures
across the forecast area today and tomorrow. Expect temperatures
mainly in the 90s across the area, with low 100s in Barber
County. A bit hotter temperatures can be expected area-wide with
widespread 100s across much of the forecast area on Friday.
Temperatures will continue to be in the 90s for the rest of the
forecast period, but 100s may become less common.

As far as the storm potential is concerned today, the minimal
chances that were there, are looking even less so. SPC carries a
Marginal Risk for much of the forecast area. However, any
forcing is nebulous, and likely will be confined north of
Kansas. If storms are capable of developing and sustaining, with
northwest flow, then storms could theoretically work into the
area with a gusty wind risk. Timing of any potential storms
would be late into the evening and overnight. Though latest 12z
CAM guidance supports the idea of limited to no storms into the
forecast, increasing the confidence of minimal storm impact.

Looking at POPs into the medium to longer range, some chances
exist nearly every day in various parts of the area amid
northwest flow. NBM is suggestive of the greatest chance period
is Tuesday through Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 930 PM CDT Thu Aug 20 2026

Excellent flying weather is expected to continue through this
TAF period, with VFR/SKC, scattered cirrus, and light southeast
winds prevailing. Radar at 0230z depicted thunderstorms near
MCK, well north of HYS. The expectation is for this activity
to dissipate, with no aviation impacts, as such the 06z TAF
issuance will be dry for all airports.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Bennett
AVIATION...Turner
KEY MESSAGES...Turner