164
FXUS63 KDDC 100400
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and storms for the first half of today

- Hot and dry next week

- Upper 90s likely Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

An upper level trof will move across the state today. This feature
will spark of scattered showers and thunderstorms for the first half
of today. The disturbance will start to clear the area by the afternoon.
As a result, expect shower activity to diminish as the day continues.
Highs today will be fairly cool with values peaking in the 60s. A
northeast wind of 8 to 18 mph will prevail through much of the day.
Lows tonight will be chilly with values bottoming out in the upper
30s to lower 40s.

500 hPa heights start to increase across the greater region Monday
onward. In fact, shortwave ridging is expected to amplify across
Kansas Wednesday and Thursday. This dry pattern is both supported
by both the GEFS and the ENS. The net result is a dry and very warm
to very hot forecast. The hottest of highs is expected Thursday,
where upper 90s will be likely. Otherwise we will start out with
70s and 80s Monday and end up in the 90s towards the end of the business
week. Lows will trend warmer through the week as well with values
starting out in the 30s and 40s Monday, but ending up in the 60s
to around 70F towards the end of the week. Both ensemble models (GEFS/ENS)
support the notion of a thunderstorm-free forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Sat May 9 2026

A weather disturbance will bring scattered showers and storms through
the overnight period and into the morning hours. MVFR cigs will be
possible in association with this activity and low cigs. Shower activity
will diminish through the day as the disturbance clears the area.
Otherwise, winds today will be NE 5-15 kt.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden