017
FXUS63 KDDC 210752
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
252 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm today and tomorrow

- Cold front Saturday morning cooling temperatures this weekend into
next week

- Precipitation chances increase this weekend into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 251 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Western Kansas will be under the influence of an upper level high
centered over the Central Rockies through tomorrow. In addition an
area of high pressure will also be the dominate feature towards the
surface. Expect sunny skies and hot conditions, with high
temperatures in the low to mid-90s this afternoon and tomorrow
afternoon. Overnight lows will be in the 60s. Surface winds will be
light and from the southeast. There is little to no chance of
precipitation during this period.

A major change in the weather pattern is expected as we head into
the weekend as the upper-level ridge shifts westward and a strong
upper level low moves along the US/Canada border. This in turn will
allow a backdoor cold front to approach and move through western
Kansas. As of now, timing will be Saturday morning. High
temperatures will drop significantly behind this front, falling to
the 80s Saturday and Sunday. The chance for precipitation will
increase behind this front with an easterly component to the wind.
The highest chance of precipitation will be Saturday and Sunday
nights.

The cold front will have moved through the region by the start of
next week, and a cooler air mass will settle in. Temperatures will
be well below normal for this time of year, with highs in the low
70s with upper 60s possible on Tuesday. Overnight lows in the mid-
50s. The chances for rain and thunderstorms will continue through
the week but amounts are still uncertain. Scattered showers and
cloudy conditions will be possible at times. As with any long-range
forecast, the details of this period are less certain and subject to
change.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1143 PM CDT Wed Aug 20 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through tonight with a few mid level
clouds this afternoon. Winds will be light and variable,
becoming southeast this afternoon.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42