Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
779 ACUS48 KWNS 190849 SWOD48 SPC AC 190848 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... A shortwave trough is expected to move into the Midwest before phasing with a broader upper-level trough in the Great Lakes region by the middle of next week. Access to Gulf moisture will become more restricted as this feature moves eastward. Across parts of the West and Plains, an upper-level ridge will develop and shift east through the remainder of the week into the weekend. The upper-level pattern becomes less certain during the weekend, but at least a brief period of quasi-zonal flow aloft is currently expected. With another cold-frontal intrusion into the Gulf expected to occur late this week, moisture availability/quality for any shortwave troughs moving through the westerlies is highly uncertain. Severe weather potential continues to appear low through next weekend. ..Wendt.. 10/19/2024