662
ACUS48 KWNS 290820
SWOD48
SPC AC 290819

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0319 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Valid 021200Z - 071200Z

...DISCUSSION...
The cold front which may result in severe weather on Day 3/Tuesday
will move into the Atlantic and near the Gulf Coast across Florida.
A reinforcing mid-level trough will maintain northerly flow across
the eastern CONUS as an area of high pressure builds into the
region. A drier, more continental airmass across the eastern CONUS
will keep severe weather chances minimal.

Upper 60s to low 70s dewpoints will remain across the Plains,
beneath a strong upper-level ridge. By the time the ridge starts to
break down on Day 6/Friday some severe weather is possible as a
mid-level trough moves into the northern Plains. However, the ECMWF
shows less than 20 knots of flow across the Plains. Therefore, shear
will likely be limited. Thunderstorms will be likely along the cold
front as it traverses the central and eastern CONUS next weekend.
However, the lack of stronger mid-level flow casts doubt on storm
organization. Therefore, no severe weather probabilities have been
added at this time.

..Bentley.. 06/29/2025