Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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919
ACUS48 KWNS 040836
SWOD48
SPC AC 040834

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0334 AM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 071200Z - 121200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance continues to show cyclonic flow aloft
persisting over the northeast CONUS from D4/Monday into D6/Wednesday
before extensive upper ridging over the western and central CONUS
builds eastward and displaces the cyclone. Even with this cyclonic
flow persisting early next week, much of the low-level moisture will
likely be off the Northeast coast by early D4/Monday. Modest
low-level moisture will likely linger across much of the Southeast
and Gulf Coast for much of the week, with some thunderstorm threat
persisting, predominately across the FL Peninsula.

Dry and stable conditions are currently expected elsewhere across
the CONUS as upper ridging builds eastward and the continental
airmass remains in place.

..Mosier.. 10/04/2024