236
ACUS48 KWNS 070842
SWOD48
SPC AC 070841

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0341 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Sub-15 percent severe potential remains apparent over the
Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States on D4/Tuesday before a cold front
moves offshore. Instability progs remain weak where at least
moderate deep-layer shear is anticipated. It seems plausible that
the northern extent of larger buoyancy will be suppressed south in
the wake of extensive convection through D3 across the Southeast.

On D5-6/Wednesday-Thursday, guidance has trended towards some
amplification of a minor southern-stream shortwave impulse as it
drifts across the southern Great Plains. This could foster mesoscale
corridors of modest shear overlapping plentiful buoyancy in the
south-central states.

Western Gulf moisture will spread north and encompass much of the
central states through next weekend. Various shortwave impulses over
the Northwest may support multiple bouts of mesoscale-driven severe
potential along the northern periphery of the expansive Great Plains
buoyancy plume.

..Grams.. 06/07/2025