367
ACUS48 KWNS 260853
SWOD48
SPC AC 260852

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 AM CDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Valid 291200Z - 031200Z

...DISCUSSION...
The upper-level pattern over the next week will generally feature an
elongated upper ridge centered over the Southeast stretching into
the Northwest. In the Northeast and nearby vicinity, upper-level
cyclonic flow will be present. A belt of stronger mid-level winds
will accompany that trough. Along the West Coast, a lower amplitude
shortwave trough will slowly move northward along the coast. As the
Northeast trough continues to shift east into late next week and the
weekend, the surface cold front will continue to be pushed
southward. Thunderstorms are likely to occur along and near this
boundary given the hot and moist airmass to its south. While some
severe risk could accompany this activity, stronger mid-level flow
will become displaced farther and farther northward from the
boundary each day. This leads to uncertainty in the overall
magnitude of the severe threat from the Ohio Valley into the
Mid-South/Southeast.

Additional storms, with some severe potential could occur in parts
of the Northwest with the approach of greater mid-level moisture and
the trough. Again, the placement and intensity of this activity is
uncertain. Even with a decrease in low-level moisture behind the
surface front, remaining moisture will be pushing into the terrain
of the northern Rockies. Along with some mid-level flow enhancement,
strong to severe storms would be possible.

..Wendt.. 07/26/2025