204
FNUS28 KWNS 132121
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0419 PM CDT Sun Sep 13 2026

Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

...Synopsis...
An upper trough and associated mid-level jet will push into the
Great Lakes region by D3/Tuesday while another trough enters the
Pacific Northwest. A potential cut-off develops across the western
U.S. bringing dry and breezy conditions southeast of the low to
portions of the Great Basin Days 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday. An expansive
ridge will persist over the southeastern CONUS into the weekend
yielding above normal temperatures and mainly dry conditions for
much of the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley and Deep
South. However, diffuse surface pressure gradients will keep winds
on the light side amid lingering Gulf moisture that should limit a
more significant fire weather threat across the region.

...Days 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday - Great Basin...
An upper-level trough/low and associated enhanced southwesterly
mid-level winds are expected to push into the Pacific Northwest on
D3/Tuesday before moving into the northern CA/northern Great Basin
for midweek. The dry southwest flow should bring a fire weather
threat to portions of central and eastern NV midweek as fuels
continue to dry with ERCs rebounding into the 80th percentile by
late week. 40% critical probabilities have been introduced into
central/eastern NV for Days 3-5/Tuesday-Thursday.

...Southern Plains...
A southerly wind on the western periphery of a surface high pressure
over the southeastern U.S. is likely to continue each afternoon
across portions of the Southern Plains this week. Fuels remain
receptive across portions of the Southern Plains but alignment of
stronger winds (greater than 15 mph) and critically low RH is not
likely based on latest medium range ensemble guidance as somewhat
deeper Gulf moisture persists across the region.

..Williams.. 09/13/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$