317
FNUS28 KWNS 192205
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0503 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

Valid 211200Z - 271200Z

Across the eastern US, ridging will favor dry conditions but with
only modest winds through much of the forecast period. Mid-level
flow will trend more zonal and weaken slightly over the next several
days, before a more amplified pattern emerges mid to late week next
week. Lee troughing and westerly flow will increase from the Rockies
to the Southwest. This will tend to support an increase in
fire-weather concerns midweek and beyond.

...Southwest and Great Basin...
As flow aloft becomes more amplified, a stronger upper trough will
eject eastward over the Rockies and high Plains supporting strong
southwesterly flow a loft. A cooler air mass behind a remnant
backdoor front over the southern high Plains will gradually warm and
dry through early next week. Dry downslope winds will increase
midweek as the main upper trough moves east. Elevated to critical
conditions are possible D5/Wed and beyond. Uncertainty on the
upper-level evolution remains fairly large, but ensemble agreement
increases fire-weather concerns through next weekend.

...Central High Plains...
As flow aloft becomes more zonal, westerly downslope flow is likely
early next week. Downslope winds may reach critical criteria at
times, but substantial uncertainty remains on diurnal RH minimums
given the cooler surface temperatures and precipitation over the
preceding days. Localized fire-weather concerns will remain
possible, but widespread concerns are not expected.

...Southeast...
Dry and occasional breezy conditions are possible over much of the
Southeast and FL through next week. High pressure over the eastern
US will support above normal temperatures and almost no
precipitation. This could support some localized fire-weather risk,
given the ongoing state of dry fuels and additional drought
development. However, confidence in the coverage and intensity of
fire-weather conditions is low as winds are not expected to be very
strong beneath high pressure.

..Lyons.. 04/19/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$