


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
011 FNUS28 KWNS 242135 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0433 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z Upper-level troughing is likely to continue over much of the West this week but weaken from its peak this weekend. Weak upper-level troughing is forecast to develop off the West Coast through mid-week with an upper-level trough likely to approach the Northwest Day 5/Thursday. Monsoonal moisture will continue to push northward through the Northwest and the Northern Rockies by Day 5/Thursday. Daily wet thunderstorms and showers remain likely for much of the southern/central Intermountain West, with wet thunderstorms and wetting rain moving into central/north Idaho and western Montana Day 4/Wednesday - Day 5/Thursday. Drier air will begin to filter into the West behind this monsoonal surge, mostly from west to east mid to late week. Mixed wet/dry thunderstorms over receptive fuels are possible in portions of the Cascades, especially from northern Oregon northward, and northern Rockies mainly north Idaho and northwest Montana. Additionally, as drier air filters into portions of California and the Great Basin, areas will be monitored for potential introduction of dry thunderstorm probabilities. The main reason for not including probabilities at this time is the uncertainty regarding the spatial extent and magnitude of ongoing/upcoming wetting rain coupled with thunderstorm chances away from these areas. ..Nauslar.. 08/24/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$