954
FNUS28 KWNS 042147
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0446 PM CDT Fri Oct 04 2024

Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

An upper low will exit the Great Lakes Day 3/Sunday - Day 4/Monday
then slowly move over southeast Canada and the Northeast early to
mid-next week. Upper-level ridging will build over the West through
early next week, with a weak upper low forecast to move onshore over
southern California early to mid-next week. Upper-level ridging is
forecast to shift eastward over the central US by Day 7/Thursday -
Day 8/Friday with upper-level troughing likely moving onto the West
Coast late next week. Well above normal temperatures are expected
across much of the West through mid-next week then expanding and
shifting to the central US.

...Day 3/Sunday: Midwest and Plains...
Dry and breezy post-frontal conditions are likely across portions of
the Midwest and central Plains, with locally critical conditions
possible from Minnesota into Iowa. Dry and breezy post-frontal
conditions may develop farther south and east into Illinois,
Wisconsin, and Indiana, but recent rainfall will help mitigate the
low forecast probability of critical winds/RH. Elevated conditions
may also develop in portions of Kansas and eastern Colorado into
northern Oklahoma as well as southern Wyoming.

...Day 5/Tuesday - Day 8/Friday...
Dry and breezy conditions are likely from portions of inland
southern California into the southern Great Basin on Day 5/Tuesday -
Day 6/Wednesday as a weak upper low moves onshore. However, there
remains too much uncertainty regarding the strength and timing of
this low and subsequent development of potentially critical
winds/RH. A larger upper-level trough is forecast to move onto the
West Coast late next week, but guidance is mixed on the timing and
how far south/east stronger flow aloft extends into the
Intermountain West.

..Nauslar.. 10/04/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$