Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 242154
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024

Valid 261200Z - 021200Z

Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low through the extended
forecast period. Predominately zonal mid-level flow will gradually
amplify as broad troughing develops over the eastern US early in the
week. Ridging and strong northwesterly flow will intensify over the
western US as the upper-level pattern becomes quasi stationary. At
the surface, a cold front and high pressure will shift over the
central and eastern US as the ridge builds. A much cooler and stable
air mass, reinforced by multiple intrusions of Arctic air, will
favor weaker winds and poor overlap of dry conditions with receptive
across much of the US into week 2.

The only exceptions may be across parts of the southern High Plains
and the FL Peninsula middle to late next week. Gusty winds behind a
strong cold front could support periodic dry and breezy conditions
from eastern NM and across central FL. However, fuels in both
locations are not overly receptive, and model guidance varies
substantially on the duration/intensity of any strong winds and low
humidity that may develop. Thus, the probability of sustained
critical fire-weather conditions is low.

..Lyons.. 11/24/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$