Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
041 FNUS28 KWNS 212118 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CST Thu Nov 21 2024 Valid 231200Z - 291200Z Fire weather concerns remain limited through the extended period. The upper trough over the Great Lakes/Ohio River Valley will continue to promote widespread rain/snow chances across these regions and into the Northeast over the next 48 hours. The precipitation associated with this system, combined with seasonal temperatures over the next several days, will limit fuel concerns across the northern/northeastern CONUS. A breakdown of the upper ridge over the central U.S. will transition into a more zonal flow regime over this weekend. As this occurs, increasing west/southwesterly mid-level flow - augmented by transient shortwave troughs - may promote areas of dry/windy conditions in the lee of the southern Rockies. Additionally, a dry return flow regime may become established across the southern Plains this weekend as a lee trough deepens along the High Plains; however, recent widespread rainfall should limit fuel status. This regime will be short-lived as cold air intrusions overspread the Plains behind a deepening surface low during the early to mid-week period. Recent precipitation, cool temperatures, and weak gradient winds should limit fire concerns across the western CONUS. ..Moore.. 11/21/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$