


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
247 FNUS28 KWNS 072053 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025 Valid 091200Z - 151200Z Subtropical ridging over the western U.S. is forecast to briefly intensify Day 3/Monday into Day 4/Tuesday before it begins to break down later Day 4/Tuesday as mid-level troughing re-develops across the West and persists into next weekend. ...Northwest: Day 4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday... Dry and breezy conditions are expected to develop along/east of the Cascades Day 4/Tuesday and Day 5/Wednesday across portions of Washington and Oregon. While elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions are possible, probabilities for Critical conditions currently remains less than 40% due to continued run-to-run ensemble model variability. ...Great Basin into the Southwest: Day 5/Wednesday - Day 8/Saturday... Dry and windy conditions are forecast to develop over the western U.S. by mid-week as the aforementioned western U.S. trough impinges on the area. While some increase in fire weather conditions is expected from mid-week into next weekend, especially considering several preceding days of dry/windy conditions, uncertainty currently remains a bit too large to introduce probabilities for Critical fire weather conditions. At this time, ensemble guidance suggests elevated to locally critical conditions are most likely across portions of Utah and Nevada. ...Dry Thunderstorms: Northwest into the northern Great Basin and northern Rockies... Thunderstorm potential will increase across the Northwest Day 3/Monday before shifting into the Great Basin and northern Rockies Day 4/Tuesday through much of the extended period. While dry thunderstorms will be possible, uncertainty on coverage, mode (wet vs dry), and fuel receptiveness precludes introducing an area at this time. ..Elliott.. 06/07/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$