655
FNUS28 KWNS 042124
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0422 PM CDT Fri Jul 04 2025

Valid 061200Z - 121200Z

...Synopsis...
By Day 3/Sunday, the mid-level shortwave trough responsible for
ongoing thunderstorms across the northern Rockies will move into the
northern Great Plains. Quasi-zonal flow is expected over the rest of
the northern CONUS, while subtropical ridging impacts the Southern
Plains and Southwest. Farther west off the central CA coastline, a
mid to upper-level cyclone is anticipated to meander near this
region for a couple of days and then slowly progress
north-northeastward towards northern CA by Day5/Tuesday.

...Day 5/Tuesday...
Increasing mid to low-level flow is expected to develop Day
5/Tuesday over the Great Basin region as the height gradient
tightens in association with the approaching CA cyclone. Very warm
and dry atmospheric profiles are expected for several days preceding
this feature, which will aid in even more receptive fuels being
available by this time. Extended ensemble model guidance and high
confidence in a deeply mixed boundary layer suggest there is now
enough evidence to introduce low critical probabilities for breezy
winds and low RH across eastern NV and western UT Day 5/Tuesday.

..Barnes.. 07/04/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$