773
FNUS28 KWNS 111935
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0233 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

Upper ridging should dominate the western into south-central CONUS
through at least early next week, before the ridge flattens through
the remainder of next week. Multiple mid-level impulses will crest
the ridge through early next week, providing enough upper support to
induce dry and windy conditions along the Cascades on Day 3 (Sunday)
and Days 4-5 (Monday-Tuesday), where 40 percent critical
probabilities have been maintained. Monsoonal moisture will continue
to linger around the Four Corners region into next week, providing a
mix of wet and dry thunderstorms nearly every day into next week.
Given that storms may be on the wetter side, and may occur over the
same regions (hence the dampening of fuels), no dry thunderstorm
probabilities were added to this region. Isolated dry thunderstorms
may become an increasing concern across portions of the Pacific
Northwest into the northern Great Basin/Central Rockies region
through parts of next week as mid-level troughs traverse the
Interior West. However, given the overall weak forcing with these
low-amplitude troughs, and differences in timing of the troughs in
medium-range guidance, confidence is too low to specify the location
and timing of dry thunderstorms at this time.

..Squitieri.. 07/11/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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