Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
733 FNUS28 KWNS 242154 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Sun Nov 24 2024 Valid 261200Z - 021200Z Fire-weather concerns over the CONUS are low through the extended forecast period. Predominately zonal mid-level flow will gradually amplify as broad troughing develops over the eastern US early in the week. Ridging and strong northwesterly flow will intensify over the western US as the upper-level pattern becomes quasi stationary. At the surface, a cold front and high pressure will shift over the central and eastern US as the ridge builds. A much cooler and stable air mass, reinforced by multiple intrusions of Arctic air, will favor weaker winds and poor overlap of dry conditions with receptive across much of the US into week 2. The only exceptions may be across parts of the southern High Plains and the FL Peninsula middle to late next week. Gusty winds behind a strong cold front could support periodic dry and breezy conditions from eastern NM and across central FL. However, fuels in both locations are not overly receptive, and model guidance varies substantially on the duration/intensity of any strong winds and low humidity that may develop. Thus, the probability of sustained critical fire-weather conditions is low. ..Lyons.. 11/24/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$