Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
Issued by NWS State College, PA
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FNUS71 KCTP 121123
FWSCTP
Spot Forecast for Yost Rx...PA-DCNR
National Weather Service State College PA
723 AM EDT Tue Aug 12 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.
.DISCUSSION...
I cannot get Friday in the forecast table, but I have added a
narrative.
Wednesday looks wet.
Look for warmer and more humid conditions today, with RH only
getting down to 45-50 pct.
A cold front pushing southeast across the region late Wednesday
and Wednesday night will be preceded by numerous showers and
thunderstorms with brief heavy rain.
Following the cold front, mainly dry but warm weather with
comfortable humidity will return for Thursday and Friday, and
possibly extend through much or all of Saturday.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the morning, then
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........70 at ignition...Max 82.
RH..................90 percent at ignition...Min 62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 4 mph at ignition...otherwise
Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the morning.
Mixing Height.......100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Chance of thunder...86 percent.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................6 to 20.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%)........... 78 78 78 78 82 87 91 91 91 91
Weather Cov....... LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather Type...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm Cov.......... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Chc of thdr (%)... 20 20 20 70 70 70 90 90 90 90
Temp.............. 70 73 75 76 78 79 80 80 79 78
RH................ 90 84 79 76 69 67 62 62 64 67
20 FT Wind Dir.... W W W SW SW W W W W W
20 FT Wind Spd.... 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT Wind Gust... 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.4
Transp Wind Dir... SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
Transp Wind Spd... 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9 8 8
LVORI............. 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3
ADI............... 6 11 11 11 20 20 20 18 18 18
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms early in the evening, then chance
of thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance
of showers early in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 65.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing Height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Chance of thunder...86 percent.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 4.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%)........... 91 91 69 68 66 65 65 64 64 66 69 71
Weather Cov....... DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm Cov.......... DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%)... 90 90 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
Temp.............. 75 73 70 69 68 68 68 68 68 67 67 66
RH................ 74 79 87 90 93 93 93 93 93 93 93 93
20 FT Wind Dir.... W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT Wind Gust... 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp Wind Dir... W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
Transp Wind Spd... 7 5 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
LVORI............. 3 4 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
ADI............... 4 4 4 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 82.
RH..................Min 41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
early in the afternoon, then becoming light
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
LVORI...............4 in the morning and early afternoon.
ADI.................6 to 28 in the morning and early afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%)........... 65 58 52 49 46 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
Weather Cov....... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather Type...... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm Cov.......... SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%)... 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
Temp.............. 66 66 67 69 71 74 76 78 80 81 82 81
RH................ 93 97 93 87 81 71 62 54 47 44 41 41
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT Wind Gust... 7 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.6 4.8 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5
Transp Wind Dir... NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp Wind Spd... 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 9 9 8
LVORI............. 6 6 6 5 4 3 2 2 M M M M
ADI............... 6 6 6 15 15 15 28 28 28 M M M
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 83.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph.
Mixing Height.......7200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 2 to 5 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............N/A
ADI.................N/A
$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...Jeremy Dayhoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519753.0/CTP
.DELDT 08/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerdayhoff@pa.gov