Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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Spot Forecast for Yost Rx...PA-DCNR
National Weather Service State College PA
608 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on August 14.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...

The cold front which moved in yesterday will not move from
it`s spot very close to the burn area. It will only slowly
dissipate over the next 2-3 days. Lots of fog around, mainly
in the valleys, this morning. That may take until mid-morning
to burn off.

A shower or thunderstorm is possible today, _mainly_ along and
south of I-80 (just south of the burn area). The humidity will
decrease today, but not as much as advertised. RH will drop
into the mid-upper 40s.

An isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm is again possible
Friday and Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 82.
Min Humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then becoming light late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 7 mph.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6 to 19.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  52  48  48  48  47  45  43  41  42  44  46
Weather Cov.......          SCH SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW      RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........          SCH SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   20  20  20  20  10  20  20  10  10
Temp..............  66  67  69  71  74  77  78  80  81  81  80
RH................  100 97  90  83  77  69  64  56  51  49  51
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   5   5   5   5   8   10  10  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.5 4.4
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp Wind Spd...  6   5   5   6   6   6   7   5   5   5   5
LVORI.............  8   7   6   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  6   6   11  11  11  19  19  19  14  14  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 63.
Max Humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    late in the evening, then becoming light
                    overnight.
Mixing Height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph increasing to 7 to 8 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  41  37  33  25  17  9   9   9   14  6   8   18
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  79  76  71  70  69  68  67  67  66  65  64  63
RH................  50  56  68  73  76  76  78  78  78  81  84  84
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  8   8
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   NE  E   NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  E   E
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
LVORI.............  2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
ADI...............  3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    late in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 84.
Min Humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the south late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 to 24.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  17  7   5   10  15  18  22  25  25  25  25
Weather Cov.......                                  SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather Type......                                  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp..............  63  63  67  70  73  76  79  81  82  83  83  82
RH................  84  84  75  73  68  62  56  51  47  46  45  47
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.3 4.2 5.2 4.6 4.0 3.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7
LVORI.............  4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  8   8   8   19  19  19  24  24  24  24  24  24

$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...Jeremy Dayhoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519753.2/CTP
.DELDT 08/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerdayhoff@pa.gov