001
FNUS71 KCTP 192001
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Irishtown Gap RX...DCNR
National Weather Service State College PA
401 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 20.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Dry spell and warming trend continues into early next week with
mainly clear skies, light winds, low humidity, and temperatures
trending above the historical average for late October.

A breezy, moisture-starved frontal passage will bring an increased
wildfire risk into the middle of next week along with some passing
showers.


.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 to 23.
Dry spell and warming trend continues into early next week with
mainly clear skies, light winds, low humidity, and temperatures
trending above the historical average for late October.

A breezy, moisture-starved frontal passage will bring an increased
wildfire risk into the middle of next week along with some passing
showers.
TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  0   0   0   1   3   4   3   3   3
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  45  53  57  61  64  66  68  69  67
RH................  73  59  55  44  38  33  32  32  34
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT Wind Gust...          5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.3 0.8
Transp Wind Dir...  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   6
LVORI.............  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  10  10  10  23  23  23  23  23  23
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 43.
Max Humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 5.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  64  60  55  54  53  52  51  50  49  48  48  47
RH................  40  46  55  54  57  59  59  61  63  65  65  68
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  6   6   7   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 74.
Min Humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 to 21.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  1   0   0   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  47  46  46  51  57  62  65  68  71  71  72  72
RH................  68  71  71  66  57  54  48  43  39  41  41  42
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  9   8   8   8   8
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  9   9   9   17  17  17  21  21  21  16  16  16
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Banghoff
Requested by...Marc Kaiser
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2424463.0/CTP
.DELDT 10/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mkaiser@pa.gov