Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 131259
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Backpack...PA-DCNR-Tiadaghton
National Weather Service State College PA
859 AM EDT Wed Aug 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on August 13.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...

Expect showers and thunderstorms today with a few locally heavy
downpours. Isolated showers are possible Thursday aftenroon and
evening. Friday will be dry and much less humid. Afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms are possible Sat, Sun, and Mon
with the highest chances on Sunday across the northern half of PA.
Daytime max temperatures will remain above the historical average
for mid August through the weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 83.
Min Humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...76 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 to 20.

TIME (EDT)          5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%)...........  92  98  95  91  88  84  86  88  90
Weather Cov.......      SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........      SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF LKY LKY LKY
Chc of thdr (%)...  10  20  30  30  60  80  70  70  70
Temp..............  75  77  78  79  79  80  82  83  81
RH................  85  80  76  74  74  72  67  63  67
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI.............  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
ADI...............  17  17  17  20  20  20  16  16  16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of showers
                    overnight.
Min Temperature.....Around 68.
Max Humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the evening.
Chance of thunder...63 percent.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 5.

TIME (EDT)          2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%)...........  87  85  82  75  67  60  61  61  62  63  64  65
Weather Cov.......  LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........  LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of thdr (%)...  60  60  50  40  30  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp..............  78  76  73  74  73  72  71  70  70  70  69  69
RH................  74  79  89  85  88  90  93  97  93  93  97  97
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   SW  S   N   S   SE  NW  W   NW  W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   4   6   5   4   4   4   2   4   4   4   5
LVORI.............  3   5   6   5   6   6   6   8   6   6   8   8
ADI...............  5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 84.
Min Humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...28 percent.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................6 to 33.

TIME (EDT)          2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%)...........  61  58  55  55  55  55  55  55  53  53  53  53
Weather Cov.......  SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........          SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of thdr (%)...  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  20
Temp..............  68  68  70  72  74  77  79  81  82  83  83  83
RH................  100 100 90  90  83  74  67  61  56  53  51  51
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   10  10  10  10
LVORI.............  9   9   5   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  6   6   6   24  24  24  32  32  32  33  33  33

$$
Forecaster...Banghoff
Requested by...Eric Fritzinger
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519813.0/CTP
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerdayhoff@pa.gov,efritzinge@pa.gov